quinta-feira, 25 de maio de 2017

As causas da guerra civil americana

The Official, One and Only, PC Cause of the Civil War

The memo has gone out. Since 2011 is the 150th anniversary of the start of the War to Prevent Southern Independence the Lincoln Cult, aided and abetted by the many worshippers of the centralized, bureaucratic, Leviathan state that he founded, has been hard at work since the first week of January endlessly repeating the politically-correct version of the one sole cause theory of the "Civil War."
Unlike all other wars in human history, the "Civil War" is said to have one and only one cause. This was not always the case; university courses on the war during the 1960s and ’70s frequently used as a text Kenneth Stampp's The Causes of the Civil War. Stampp was a former president of the American Historical Association. His scholarship has been replaced with a-historical political correctness on today's college campuses.
Supposed "proof" of the "one sole cause" theory is that when the Southern states seceded in 1860-61, some Southern politicians defended the institution of slavery. Therefore, the story goes, slavery was the sole cause of the war. The not-so-implicit assumptions behind this assertion are the following: 1) Lincoln was about to abolish slavery "with the stroke of a pen" as soon as he took the oath of office; 2) Southerners understood this; therefore, Southern secession amounted to kidnapping of the slaves; and 3) Lincoln launched an invasion of the South to free the kidnapped slaves. This is the only way in which Southern secession could have necessitated war. Read any of Harry Jaffa's books if you want "verification" of this "official view."
Everything about this politically-correct fantasy is patently false

quarta-feira, 24 de maio de 2017

Governo por loteria

    Os libertários desejam que as atividades do estado sejam reduzidas ao máximo para abrir mais espaço ao livre mercado. Quando o estado encolhe, quando seus gastos…
    mises.org.br

segunda-feira, 22 de maio de 2017

Igualdade e eventos catastróficos

The lessons of violence and inequality through the ages
ECONOMIST.COM

quarta-feira, 17 de maio de 2017

Aniversário do fim da União Soviética


    The evil of the Soviet system is that it was not cruelty for cruelty’s sake. Rather, it was cruelty for a purpose – to make a new Soviet man and a new Soviet society. This…
    fee.org

Marxismo sem másquera


    The lectures by Ludwig von Mises contained in Marxism Unmasked were delivered at the San Francisco Public Library, June 23–July 3, 1952, under the sponsorship of…
    fee.org

Comunismo chinês

    Horrors of democratic socialism (this is how they called themselves as well) in China
    It's a scandal that few Westerners are even aware, or, if they are aware, they are not conscious, of the bloody reality that prevailed in China between the years 1949 and 1976, the years of communist rule by Mao Zedong.
    mises.org

Karl Marx


Evolução humana

Scientists are exposing the tangled roots of peoples around the world
sciencemag.org

terça-feira, 16 de maio de 2017

Tipos de inteligência

Psychological researchers say a person can possess several types of intelligence. Funders and Founders designer Mark Vital highlighted what each type of intelligence can offer in this infographic:
  • Spatial: Visualizing the world in 3D
  • Naturalist: Understanding living things and reading nature
  • Musical: Discerning sounds, their pitch, tone, rhythm and timbre
  • Logical-Mathematical: Quantifying things, making hypotheses and proving them
  • Existential: Tackling the questions of why we live and why we die
  • Interpersonal: Sensing people's feelings and motives
  • Bodily-Kinesthetic: Coordinating your mind with your body
  • Linguistic: Finding the right words to express what you mean
  • Intra-personal: Understanding yourself, what you feel and what you want
There are multiple benefits to embracing your own type of intelligence. For starters, you can stop comparing yourself to others, and know your best work environment. You're also more aware of what skills you may need to develop. 

domingo, 14 de maio de 2017

A luta contra o progresso tecnológico

Rage against the machines: New technology and violent unrest in industrialising Britain

Bruno Caprettini, Joachim Voth 09 May 2017

quinta-feira, 11 de maio de 2017

Convite


Igualdade

"[F]ormal equality before the law is in conflict, and in fact incompatible,with any activity of the govenment deliberately aiming at material or substantive equality of different people, and ..  any policy aiming at a substantive ideal of distributive justice must lead to the destruction of the Rule of Law. To produce the same result for different people, it is necessary to treat them differently." 
Friedrich Hayek in The Road to Serfdom (Bruce Caldwell, editor, Univ. of Chicago Press, 2007 edition), p. 117:

terça-feira, 9 de maio de 2017

Convite - Não perca


O Instituto Mises Brasil comemora os 10 anos de atividades promovendo a 5° edição da Conferência de Escola Austríaca no Brasil, nos dias 12 e 13 de maio de 2017.
CONFERENCIA-EA.COM.BR

segunda-feira, 8 de maio de 2017

Gráfico da semana

 Mais

A bolha da bolsa americana perto de estourar

Bolsa americana - a bolha está perto de estourar
por
Antony P. Mueller
6 de Maio de 2017

Depois de uma queda acentuada durante a recessão, na esteira da crise dos mercados financeiros de 2008 (ver área sombreada no gráfico abaixo), o mercado de ações dos EUA fez uma aguda mudança de direção em 2009. Desde então, as ações realizaram um rali que levantou a Standard & Poor's índice de 500 ações cotadas na Bolsa de Valores de Nova York de abaixo de 800 até 2399 pontos de índice em 05 de maio de 2017. No entanto, enquanto a avaliação do mercado de ações triplicou nos últimos dois anos, a economia dos EUA em termos do produto interno bruto real aumentou menos de 20% e, em termos nominais, cerca de 25% nos últimos sete anos.

Standard & Poor’s 500 Index 2007-2017















No longo prazo, as ações estão correlacionadas com o crescimento econômico. No entanto, existem, ocasionalmente, períodos de tempo em que as ações superam ou sofrem desempenho inferior à economia real por margens consideráveis. Atualmente, assim parece, a avaliação do mercado de ações está bem à frente da economia real. Evidências empíricas mostram que a correção de mercado não ocorre nem suave nem moderadamente, mas o excesso para o lado positivo é seguido por um excesso para o lado negativo e vice-versa.
Existem razões para crer que uma correção do mercado acionista é iminente e que tal correção reduziria consideravelmente as avaliações? Tal pergunta pede os determinantes que provocaram as altas avaliações atuais.
Uma razão indiscutível para as elevadas avaliações das ações nos Estados Unidos é a política da chamada "afrouxamento quantitativo" que fez com que o banco central americano (FED) aumentar a base monetária de abaixo de um trilhão para quase quatro e meio trilhões dólares. Ao mesmo tempo, o FED reduziu a taxa de juros (taxa de fundos federais) de cinco por cento em 2007 para 0,5 por cento em 2009. Não foi até o final de 2016 que o banco central começou a aumentar a taxa em pequenos passos para o nível atual de um por cento, que ainda é extremamente baixo.
As taxas de juros em um nível tão baixo não só levaram a um frenesi "busca de rendimento". Essas baixas taxas também têm provocado que as empresas usem seu excesso de liquidez para recomprar ações. Ambas as políticas estão prestes a terminar e, portanto, uma correção do mercado de ações parece inevitável. 

sexta-feira, 5 de maio de 2017

Bolsas de doutorado na Alemanha

Conforme divulgado na página do CNPq, o Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq) e a Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (Capes) em parceria com o Serviço Alemão de Intercâmbio Acadêmico (DAAD) lançam edital para a concessão de bolsas de estudo para doutorado na Alemanha.

O objeto da chamada é formar docentes e pesquisadores de alto nível e consolidar a cooperação científica entre Brasil e Alemanha, em todas as áreas do conhecimento. São oferecidas 30 bolsas pelo CNPq, 30 pela Capes e 20 pelo DAAD para realização de doutorado sanduíche, doutorado pleno, ou de duplo doutorado no exterior.

O programa prevê ainda um curso de alemão, cuja duração será definida de acordo com o nível de proficiência dos candidatos no idioma, área de pesquisa na Alemanha e os pré-requisitos da universidade anfitriã. Além de gratuidade nas mensalidades, os selecionados receberão passagem aérea de ida e volta, auxílio-instalação, auxílio para aquisição de seguro-saúde e auxílio adicional caso morem em cidades consideradas de alto custo.

Para concorrer às bolsas, é preciso: ser cidadão brasileiro ou estrangeiro com visto permanente no país ter confirmação formal de orientação científica na Alemanha, apresentar o projeto de pesquisa científica (em dois idiomas "português e alemão" ou "português e inglês"), não ter recebido anteriormente bolsa das agências brasileiras para realização de estudos no mesmo nível pretendido, não ter o título de doutor, o Currículo Lattes deve estar atualizado até a data da inscrição, ter mestrado, entre outros.

As inscrições são gratuitas e deverão ser feitas pelo candidato, exclusivamente via internet por meio da Plataforma Integrada Carlos Chagas, até as 23h59min do dia 08 de junho de 2017, horário oficial de Brasília, mediante o preenchimento do formulário de proposta online, disponível em: http://carloschagas.cnpq.br.

segunda-feira, 1 de maio de 2017

Cuidado com suco

"The perception that juice is good for kids comes in part from the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children, better known as WIC, which provides food assistance to 25 percent of all pregnant women and half of all children in the United States at some point in their first five years of life. While the program has helped to improve birth outcomes and cognitive development in participants, it needs some revision. WIC supplies a very narrow range of...
Ver mais
Step away from the juice bar.
WASHINGTONPOST.COM

A arte moderna com arma da CIA

For decades in art circles it was either a rumour or a joke, but now it is confirmed as a fact. The Central Intelligence Agency used American modern art - including the works of such artists as Jackson Pollock, Robert Motherwell, Willem de Kooning…
INDEPENDENT.CO.UK

Industrializaçõ de alimentação


The fate of industrially farmed animals is one of the most pressing ethical questions of our time. Tens of billions of sentient beings, each with complex sensations and emotions, live and die on a production line
THEGUARDIAN.COM

domingo, 30 de abril de 2017

Arrow's teorema da impossiblidade

o Teorema da Impossibilidade explicado com simplicidade e elegancia. Obrigada Marcos Lisboa!
RESUMO Num sobrevoo por mais de 200 anos de teoria, autor explica a importância de Kenneth Arrow, que recebeu os prêmios mais relevantes de…
www1.folha.uol.com.br

Piketty errado

A study of the richest people in Britain challenges the famous economist Thomas Piketty's theory about wealth

Business Insider 

quinta-feira, 27 de abril de 2017

Ciclo de crédito

O data show da apresentação no NUPEC esta online
http://continentaleconomics.com/files/An_lise_do_ciclo_de_cr_dito_baseada_em_capital.pdf

O legado do comunismo

Communism's Bloody Legacy Turns 100

by Marion Smith
One hundred years ago this month, Vladimir Lenin arrived by train in St. Petersburg after a decade in exile. Today, only 33 percent of millennials are familiar with Lenin. Of those who are familiar, 25 percent view him favorably. We need a history lesson.

quarta-feira, 26 de abril de 2017

Convite

Palestra sobre 
"Análise do ciclo de credito baseada em capital" 
(Capital-based credit cycle analysis)
no Auditório do CCSA II (em frente da DID I)
Quinta, 27 de Abril de 2017 as 18:00
Evento organizado pelo NUPEC na série de seminários econômicos.

quinta-feira, 20 de abril de 2017

quarta-feira, 19 de abril de 2017

Fim a procrastinação

“Procrastination is like a credit card: It’s a lot of fun until you get the bill.”
– Christopher Parker
Did you know that the Dalai Lama was known as one of the world’s greatest procrastinators? As a student, he was used to delaying everything until the last minute. Should that make us feel better about procrastinating? No. If you think about it, he was doing anything but wasting time.
If you look at the other people on the list of famous procrastinators, you’ll notice other big names, including Leonardo da Vinci and Victor Hugo. From this point in time, it doesn’t seem like they were lazy. We should never justify our laziness with the fact that some successful people have been procrastinating, too.
Why are the most advertised Gold and Silver coins NOT the best way to invest?
The logic is pretty simple: You achieve more when you stop procrastinating. You do better at work and you have more time for yourself. The only problem is, it’s not that easy to resist the temptation of procrastination. But there is a way. Have you heard of the 2-minute rule that helps you get more productive?Eat That Frog!: 21 Gre...Brian Tracy
The 2-Minute Rule That Will Change Your Life
Every single guide you’ve read on how to fight procrastination says the same thing: The hardest part is making yourself do the thing you need to do. You get an urge, deep inside, that prevents you from getting started. The moment we realize we need to gain time management skills usually occurs during college. Once we started writing an essay, the words were just flowing. However, we were usually putting the assignments off for so long that we were leaving ourselves with no realistic chances of writing the paper on time.
That bad habit follows us throughout our entire lives, and we have to stop it. The 2-minute rule is a simple solution that works. Here is how:
1. If a task doesn’t take more than two minutes, do it NOW.
That’s the most important principle to remember. It’s surprising how many things we can do in just two minutes.
Here are only few of them:
  • Load the dishwasher right after the meal;
  • Write that important email right now;
  • Make a plan for the day while having your morning coffee;
  • Clean up the desk where you work;
  • Make that call, right now;
  • Set the appointment now;
  • Take out the trash;
  • Make the bed as soon as you get up…
If we keep listing things you can do in two minutes, the list will be endless. The rule is simple: If you catch yourself thinking “I’ll send that email later,” fight that urge to procrastinate. Think instead, “It will only take two minutes… I’ll just do it now.”
2. If a task lasts longer than two minutes, break it down into steps.
You don’t think your life will be changed by making the bed as soon as you get up? It will. It’s all about the habit you’re developing. The habit that fights procrastination.
With this step, you’ll be taking things further. If the task takes more than two minutes, you should break it down into steps. For example, let’s say you’re writing an important report. You can’t get it done in two minutes. However, you can break the task down into shorter goals, such as:
  • Collect the materials you need;
  • Do the research;
  • Write the introduction;
  • Write the other parts, one by one;
  • Edit;
  • Ask for feedback;
  • Final improvements;
  • Submitting the report.
If collecting the materials takes more than two minutes, you break down that goal, too. What can you do in the two minutes you have right now? You can get at least two documents. Get them. Once you get through that stage, you’ll be on your way to being productive. You’ll start, and that’s what’s important for getting things done.
How the 2-Minute Rule Works in Real Life
When you see it in writing, the 2-minute rule seems too simple, but in practice, that’s exactly why it works: It’s too simple to ignore.
You want to start eating healthier? Eat a banana, right now!
You want to be serious about exercising? Do one Sun Salutation. It’s enough to get your blood flowing in the morning.
You want to read more books this year? Start reading one right now! Two minutes are enough for the first page.
The point behind this principle is to get yourself started doing something. Once you take the first step, it will be easy to achieve the goals on your list.
Fonte

segunda-feira, 17 de abril de 2017

Nova Sinopse Econômica

Sinopse Econômica ano 2, n. 4, abril de 2017
http://cafecomdados.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/boletim_0417.pdf

Convite

II Fórum de Economia da UFS
Amanhã, 18 de Abril, teremos o II Fórum de economia, que começa às 18:50h e será realizado no auditório da didática V.
Em relação ao tema específico, previdência, teremos duas apresentações:
· Antony: linhas gerais do sistema previdenciário da Alemanha (20 minutos)
· Wagner: reforma da previdência no Brasil (30 minutos).
Em relação discussão da conjuntura, Thiago, Fábio e Rogério falarão brevemente na introdução do evento.

quinta-feira, 13 de abril de 2017

Nock sobre educação

The Theory of Education in the United States

  • 2765.jpg
0 Views
0 Comments
11/17/2007Albert Jay Nock
  1. Introduction: Education vs Training
  2. Dissatisfaction with American "Education"
  3. Tinkering with the Mechanics of Education
  4. The Educational Theory of Equality and Democracy
  5. The Literate Citizen
  6. Classical Education
  7. Training, Diluted Science, and Big Numbers
  1. Drugstore Education
  2. The Great Tradition
  3. Sound Theory and a Reasonable Precision in Nomenclature
  4. But What of the Educable?
  5. Gresham's Law
  6. Vested Interest in Bad Theory
  7. Conclusion and Reassurance

I - Introduction: Education vs Training

I may be permitted to express my great pleasure in the welcome which you have accorded me. I am, of course, very happy to accept it as the official welcome extended to a servant who is borrowed for the occasion by one university from another. I trust, however, that you will allow me to regard it also as the impersonal welcome offered by citizens of the great republic of letters to another citizen whose only credentials and recommendations are those with which his citizenship provides him. I may moreover, I think, be permitted to assume that this impersonal hospitality will be extended to cover the consideration of the subject that I have been appointed to introduce. The constitution of our republic recognizes no political boundaries, no distinctions of race or nation; our allegiance to it takes precedence over every local or personal interest. Our business here, I take it, is to consult about matters which seriously affect the welfare of our republic, and I may assume therefore that we are prepared to approach it in no provincial or parochial spirit, but in a truly republican frame of mind, intent only upon the interest to which our first allegiance is due, the interest of the republic of letters.

sexta-feira, 7 de abril de 2017

O verdadeiro Adam Smith

""It's kind of shocking to realize the person known as the father of modern economics, Adam Smith, didn't think the pursuit of wealth was a very good idea," says economist Russ Roberts. "He thought it was corrosive, thought it was bad for you, thought ambition was bad for you, thought the pursuit of fame would destroy your character and your happiness, your serenity, your tranquility."
Roberts is the author of the just-released How Adam Smith Can Change Your Life: An Unexpect...ed Guide to Human Nature and Happiness, an extended and lively meditation of Smith's classic The Theory of Moral Sentiments, first published in 1759, years before Smith's better-known Wealth of Nations.
One of the most popular explicators of economic thought—and perhaps more importantly, the limits of economic thought—Roberts is a research fellow at the Hoover Institution, the host of the great podcast EconTalk, a regular presence on NPR, co-blogger at Cafe Hayek, and the author of a host of previous books (including three novels: The Choice, The Invisible Heart, and The Price of Everything). He is the co-creator of the wildly popular rap videos illustrating the ideas of John Maynard Keynes and Friedrich Hayek, which have been viewed more than 7 million times on YouTube. His personal website is here.
Roberts sat down with Reason's Nick Gillespie to talk about Adam Smith's relevance in both economic and moral arenas, the hubris of contemporary economists and the politicians who rely on them, the transformation of work from drudgery to a form of self-actualization, and how Adam Smith—a bachelor who lived much of his adult life with mother—just might help you live a happy life.
Ver mais
"It's kind of shocking to realize the person known as the father of modern economics, Adam Smith, didn't…
youtube.com

quinta-feira, 6 de abril de 2017

Convite - Não perca

No dia 18 de abril acontecerá na Universidade Federal de Sergipe (UFS) o II Fórum UFS de Economia. O evento debaterá sobre a Conjuntura Econômica, enfatizando a Reforma da Previdência, e terá como palestrantes os professores Antony Peter Mueller, Fábio Rodrigues de Moura, Luiz Rogério de Camargos, Thiago Henrique Rios e Wagner Nóbrega.
O Fórum será realizado no Auditório da didática V terá início às 18:50 h. As inscrições serão feitas no próprio evento e os participantes receberão certificado.